Stories about Apple’s difficulties in producing their latest generation of iPhones, especially the iPhone 14 Pro and the iPhone 14 Pro Max aren’t exactly new. Despite curtailing their production estimates by millions of units this year, it seems that Apple will miss their shipment goal for the iPhone 14 Pro by about 20 million units.
A new report from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo offers additional details on the impact of shortages and strikes across China, saying that iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max shipments for the holiday quarter will be 15-20 million units lower than expected.
Kuo has estimated that after Apple had revised the production targets for each of the devices under the iPhone 14 lineup, Apple will only be able to ship about 70-75 million units. Earlier, the figures were revised down to 85-90 million units.
The average capacity utilization rate of Zhengzhou iPhone plant was only about 20% in November, and it’s expected to improve to 30–40% in December.
Pegatron and Luxshare ICT have obtained about 10% of the iPhone 14 Pro and 14 Pro Max orders from Foxconn, respectively. But mass shipments will not be until late December at the earliest.
In India, what the shortage has led to is a golden opportunity for players in the black market and for private sellers, who are making money hand over fist by selling iPhones 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max at a premium.
According to the production recovery progress of the iPhone 14 Pro series, shipments in December were still significantly lower than expected.
Notably, Kuo believes that buyers won’t defer their purchase to when supply has improved, something Kuo attributes to “the economic recession.” This may drive away the demand for the iPhone 14 series. Kuo also predicts that Apple’s iPhone revenue in the final quarter of the year may be significantly lower than the market consensus by 20–30% or more.
Apple also reportedly did not inform many of its component suppliers to cut orders, leaving them with “component inventory higher than normal for several weeks.”
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